Date of Award
1994
Document Type
Thesis
Department
Political Science
First Reader
Dr. Hal Bass
Second Reader
Dr. Doug Reed
Third Reader
Dr. Jeff Pounders
Abstract
Since the 1970's, much research has been done in an attempt to determine variables that cause decline of the president's popularity. Although there are different studies that give various reasons for the decline of the president's popularity, all agree that there is a trend of decline over the president's term. To represent the decline, James Stimson suggested a parabola model, whereas John Mueller suggested a linear-regression model. This paper attempts to show that a linear-regression model is more effective in explaining decline of the presidents from Truman to Johnson, than from Nixon to Bush. The findings show that a linear model does somewhat represent the era of Truman to Johnson better than the era of Nixon to Bush.
Recommended Citation
Gosser, April, "Presidential Popularity and the Linear Model" (1994). Honors Theses. 107.
https://scholarlycommons.obu.edu/honors_theses/107
Included in
American Politics Commons, Applied Statistics Commons, Models and Methods Commons, Politics and Social Change Commons, Quantitative, Qualitative, Comparative, and Historical Methodologies Commons